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Note: Volume and trading data shown here only includes data from June 1, 2024 onwards.
Daily Volume by Question (Top 10)
Capitola LabsShows daily trading volume for the top 10 questions by total volume over time.
Top Questions by Total Volume
| Question | Event | Category | Total Volume | Total Trades | Max Unique Traders | % Algo Volume | Active Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?▶ | Presidential Election Winner 2024 | politics | $3,238,170,247 | 2,352,669 | 21,023 | 73.0% | 159 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?▶ | Presidential Election Winner 2024 | politics | $1,772,789,425 | 1,281,787 | 15,348 | 74.3% | 159 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?▶ | Who will be inaugurated as President? | politics | $955,711,127 | 1,157,293 | 12,746 | 73.0% | 81 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?▶ | New York City Mayoral Election | politics | $371,061,753 | 241,173 | 6,884 | 83.4% | 177 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?▶ | single market | other | $354,117,956 | 39,440 | 2,521 | 78.0% | 49 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?▶ | Presidential Election Popular Vote Winner 2024 | politics | $317,699,205 | 309,734 | 4,274 | 86.1% | 165 |
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?▶ | Champions League Winner | sports | $301,706,474 | 71,780 | 1,996 | 53.2% | 257 |
US government shutdown Saturday?▶ | single market | politics | $275,735,351 | 122,575 | 7,648 | 70.4% | 84 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in January? | politics | $266,038,330 | 108,243 | 5,292 | 89.2% | 131 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in December? | politics | $236,248,477 | 87,824 | 4,003 | 80.4% | 126 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?▶ | Presidential Election Popular Vote Winner 2024 | politics | $212,613,739 | 166,474 | 3,073 | 88.2% | 164 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?▶ | single market | politics | $207,479,068 | 146,692 | 1,688 | 81.5% | 204 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in January? | politics | $206,854,547 | 82,299 | 6,152 | 96.4% | 131 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?▶ | Next president of South Korea? | politics | $203,276,383 | 60,082 | 1,812 | 93.0% | 61 |
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?▶ | single market | politics | $199,875,710 | 38,429 | 2,141 | 58.6% | 127 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?▶ | Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? | politics | $183,053,580 | 99,678 | 2,993 | 61.3% | 171 |
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?▶ | NBA Champion | sports | $182,853,367 | 133,508 | 1,980 | 53.6% | 222 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?▶ | single market | politics | $161,986,605 | 40,257 | 5,176 | 76.8% | 23 |
Will Biden finish his term?▶ | single market | politics | $152,034,709 | 68,229 | 2,718 | 90.2% | 207 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in January? | politics | $148,357,848 | 45,896 | 1,201 | 98.3% | 133 |