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Note: Volume and trading data shown here only includes data from June 1, 2024 onwards.
Daily Volume by Question (Top 10)
Capitola ResearchShows daily trading volume for the top 10 questions by total volume over time.
Top Questions by Total Volume
| Question | Event | Category | Total Volume | Total Trades | Max Unique Traders | % Algo Volume | Active Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?▶ | Presidential Election Winner 2024 | politics | $3,238,170,247 | 2,352,669 | 21,023 | 73.0% | 159 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?▶ | Presidential Election Winner 2024 | politics | $1,772,789,425 | 1,281,787 | 15,348 | 74.3% | 159 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?▶ | Who will be inaugurated as President? | politics | $955,711,127 | 1,157,293 | 12,746 | 72.8% | 81 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?▶ | New York City Mayoral Election | politics | $371,061,753 | 241,173 | 6,884 | 83.4% | 177 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?▶ | Presidential Election Popular Vote Winner 2024 | politics | $317,699,205 | 309,734 | 4,274 | 86.1% | 165 |
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?▶ | Champions League Winner | sports | $301,706,474 | 71,780 | 1,996 | 53.2% | 257 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in January? | politics | $265,796,974 | 108,202 | 5,279 | 89.1% | 131 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in December? | politics | $236,248,477 | 87,824 | 4,003 | 81.1% | 126 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?▶ | Presidential Election Popular Vote Winner 2024 | politics | $212,613,739 | 166,474 | 3,073 | 88.2% | 164 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in January? | politics | $206,817,862 | 82,295 | 6,152 | 96.5% | 131 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?▶ | Next president of South Korea? | politics | $203,276,383 | 60,082 | 1,812 | 93.0% | 61 |
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?▶ | NBA Champion | sports | $182,853,367 | 133,508 | 1,980 | 53.6% | 222 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?▶ | Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? | politics | $152,876,677 | 82,243 | 2,993 | 58.1% | 163 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in January? | politics | $148,317,608 | 45,893 | 1,200 | 98.3% | 133 |
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?▶ | Champions League Winner | sports | $138,173,719 | 145,865 | 1,269 | 57.9% | 257 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in December? | politics | $125,637,141 | 71,777 | 4,186 | 91.4% | 130 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in October? | politics | $124,500,452 | 50,276 | 3,761 | 89.7% | 132 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?▶ | Democratic Nominee 2024 | politics | $124,064,711 | 21,148 | 1,340 | 91.3% | 67 |
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?▶ | Next Prime Minster of Canada | politics | $122,090,459 | 44,020 | 2,855 | 68.7% | 122 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?▶ | Fed decision in December? | politics | $119,541,005 | 94,326 | 1,131 | 98.5% | 125 |