Super Bowl LX
Polymarket and Kalshi moneyline data analysis for Super Bowl LX: Seattle vs New England (Feb 8, 2026).
Data was sourced directly from each platform's respective endpoints.
Polymarket structured Super Bowl LIX betting across three separate markets, each identified by a unique condition_id. The head-to-head market (SEA vs NE) is a moneyline-style market created specifically for the Super Bowl matchup. The two standalone markets (Will NE Win? and Will SEA Win?) originated as season-long “Who will win the Super Bowl?” futures that were created early in the season. Once the Super Bowl went live, these standalone Yes/No contracts became effectively the same market as the dedicated moneyline—but because each has its own order book and liquidity pool, trade activity and pricing dynamics can differ significantly across them.
Total Trades
57,434
Total Shares
34,803,830
Total Volume ($)
$16,892,244.74
Unique Traders
8,482
may undercount*
Avg Size
606
shares
Median Size
26
shares
Max Size
544,147
shares
P95 Size
1,694
shares
*Unique trader counts may be undercounted: for some matches the maker or taker address is the CTF Exchange contract rather than the end-user wallet.